CALGARY, ALBERTA--(Marketwired - Aug. 12, 2013) - NuVista Energy Ltd. ("NuVista") (TSX:NVA) is pleased to announce results for the three and six months ended June 30, 2013 and provide an update on its business plan. During the second quarter of 2013, our operating and financial results began to reflect the tremendous growth potential and strong economics of our condensate-rich Wapiti Montney play. Included in this press release are the initial 30 day production rates from two new wells brought on production in June which continue to highlight the strong condensate yields and prolific nature of this significant resource. The results of our drilling program together with industry data continue to support our belief that the condensate-rich Wapiti Montney is a top-decile North American natural gas play. The current phase of production growth is well underway through existing connected facilities, and progress continues to be made towards the next phase of growth in mid 2014 with the construction of a 65 MMcf/d compressor station in our South Wapiti Block of land to connect with the egress arrangements secured and previously announced with Keyera Corp. through the Simonette gas plant.
Highlights for, and subsequent to, the second quarter of 2013 are as follows:
Strong Wapiti Montney Progress Continues
We continue to be very pleased with the progress made in advancing our Wapiti Montney play and the results from our and industry's wells in the greater Wapiti area. With every well drilled we increase our understanding and believe that we are still at the early stages of fully maximizing the economic value from this play. We are currently in the process of developing options for 2014 capital spending and growth based on the evaluation of recent well results, commodity prices and balance sheet flexibility. We continue to be encouraged by our emerging well results defining the potential for proven development pods, particularly in our highly condensate-rich South Block. Please see below a table of well results including updated cumulative production for wells drilled to date, and results from the two new wells (#10 and #11). Due to continued positive results we have determined it prudent to change our typecurve projections for all future South Block wells from an average condensate recovery of 45 Bbls/MMcf raw to 75 Bbls/MMcf of condensate, with the raw gas typecurve remaining as before at 4.4 Bcf raw. North Block well forward projections will remain for now at the same as previous, 4.4 Bcf raw gas and 45 Bbls/MMcf condensate.
Table of Well Results
|Original Typecurve |
4.4 Bcf Raw Gas
|Average of 1st 6 wells||5.4||305||1,146||59|
|Well 7 (North)(3)||6.7||346||1,479||57|
|Well 8 (South)(3)||3.4||390||918||116|
|Well 9 (South)(3)||7.2||935||2,003||129|
|Average of next 3 wells||5.8||557||1,467||101|
|New Well 10 (North)||5.0||254||1,067||51|
|New Well 11 (South)||5.2||535||1,383||103|
|Cumulative Production to July 24, 2013|
|Days on |
|Original Typecurve |
4.4 Bcf Raw Gas
|Well 1 (North)||812||34||39,000||1,000||221|
|Well 2 (South)||339||41||34,000||774||170|
|Well 3 (North)||334||40||46,000||948||223|
|Well 4 (North)||287||79||43,000||441||127|
|Well 5 (North)||241||54||47,000||762||193|
|Well 6 (South)||151||65||19,000||266||65|
|Well 7 (North)||97||52||25,000||428||108|
|Well 8 (South)||96||104||27,000||216||69|
|Well 9 (South)||84||113||60,000||422||141|
|Well 10 (North)||46||51||11,000||179||46|
|Well 11 (South)||26||105||14,000||111||36|
|(1) Excludes non-producing days and wells 10 and 11 are based on field estimates|
|(2) Condensate gas ratio|
|(3) Previously disclosed field estimates have been updated for actual results|
After substantial cash flow and production growth from the first to the second quarter, production for the third quarter of 2013 is expected to be relatively flat to the second quarter. Production growth is expected to resume again in the fourth quarter as a result of an active third quarter drilling program. Faster cycle times for wells drilled in the second quarter ahead of spring break-up and the delay in the start-up of the third quarter drilling program due to the extended Alberta spring rains effectively swapped some of our third quarter production growth into the second quarter. The net effect of this is that we expect to be right on track with the higher end of original production guidance for 2013, but with phasing changes quarter to quarter. We continue to focus on reducing drilling times and costs in addition to optimizing completions and have continued to meet or exceed cost reduction targets as outlined in the highlights above and in our public Corporate Presentation. Our average proved plus probable play recycle ratios are already well over 2x and are expected to continue as previously forecast towards 3x as our optimizations continue.
The significance of the Montney economics is beginning to flow through to our quarterly results. Montney field netbacks have reached $28.90/Boe in the second quarter despite being in the early stages of development and the temporarily increased operating costs we have incurred for additional condensate trucking and ramp-up transition costs due to recent above-typecurve wells. These temporary issues will be remedied in stages with resolution expected through 2014 when the previously announced processing and transportation infrastructure is in place. Corporate netbacks are expected to continue to grow significantly as Wapiti Montney volumes increasingly take their place as a dominant percentage of the company output and the benefits of longer term transportation and processing arrangements are realized. Overall, these short term issues and a one time annual Gas Cost Allowance adjustment reduced quarterly cash flows by approximately $2 million in the quarter.
We remain excited about the progress on our South Block compressor station towards mid 2014 startup to feed the new Keyera pipeline and Simonette plant firm processing contract. Major long lead equipment has been ordered for the NuVista compressor station for early 2014 installation, and Keyera project plans also remain on schedule. Production will begin mid 2014 with capacity of 35 MMcf/d raw, ramping up to 65 MMcf/d by late 2014. As previously disclosed, this project brings NuVista significant room for growth, reduced Montney operating costs in the range of 25-33%, and firm access for all Montney C3+ volumes for fractionation and market access at Keyera Fort Saskatchewan.
Access to markets and fractionation for natural gas liquids products continues to be a challenge for our industry. It is critical that volumes can move smoothly and efficiently to market to facilitate play growth. In this regard, NuVista is very well positioned to meet the industry challenges for the transportation, processing, and marketing of Wapiti Montney products through a variety of firm contracts which have been set in place including:
Commodity hedging is a key component of NuVista's financial risk management initiatives. There has been much attention recently directed to the TransCanada Eastern Mainline toll changes, and much concern about the corresponding impact on AECO natural gas prices. In anticipation of this change to tolls, NuVista stepped up its hedging program several months ago. NuVista's Board of Directors has increased the authorized hedging period from two years to three years under specific circumstances and has formalized the inclusion in our internal policy the hedging of natural gas basis risk. For the third quarter of 2013, NuVista has fixed an AECO floor price on its natural gas production of $3.19/Mcf on approximately 60% of forecast production, net of royalties. For the fourth quarter of 2013, NuVista has fixed a floor AECO price of $3.36/Mcf on approximately 40% of its net forecast production, and has changed the floating price exposure through AECO/NYMEX basis hedges on a further 30% of net production volumes from an AECO price to a NYMEX price less US$0.56/MMbtu. This strong AECO fixed and AECO/NYMEX basis protection continues through 2014. For the remainder of 2013, NuVista has also fixed a WTI crude oil floor price of $93.38/Bbl on approximately 55% of its net forecast oil and liquids production.
A disciplined approach to financial risk management continues to be one of our core principles and is key to our successful advancement of the Wapiti Montney play and the creation of shareholder value. During this period of significant opportunity, production growth, and uncertain commodity prices, NuVista remains committed to maintaining financial flexibility by keeping net debt at or below approximately 1.5x the most recent quarter's annualized cash flow.
2013 Production Guidance Unchanged
We are pleased to reiterate our full year 2013 guidance. Our capital spending for the year is anticipated to be between $210 million and $220 million. Average production forecast for the year is expected to be 16,250 Boe/d to 17,000 Boe/d, trending towards the top half of the guidance range. Production for the third quarter of 2013 is forecast to be relatively flat with the second quarter with a range of 17,000 Boe/d to 17,750 Boe/d. Fourth quarter production is expected to increase to between 17,500 Boe/d and 18,500 Boe/d as previously disclosed. Funds from operations for the year are forecast to be between $70 million and $75 million based on forecast second half of 2013 AECO and NYMEX natural gas prices of $3.15/Mcf and US$3.70/MMbtu respectively, and a WTI crude oil price of US$103/Bbl.
We continue to evaluate various scenarios pertaining to pace of growth for our 2014 business plan, and we look forward to announcing additional details in the fall. With every well drilled, we are learning more about our Wapiti Montney play and growing increasingly confident and excited about the impressive condensate-rich potential of this play, the growth potential, and the exceptional value that is and will be created from this play as we increase scale and benefit from the efficiencies that come with it. We have the people, the assets, and the processing capacity to continue to deliver strong results for our shareholders. We look forward to providing an update and 2014 spending details in early November with the release of our third quarter results.
|Three months ended |
|Six months ended |
|($ thousands, except per share)||2013||2012||2013||2012|
|Oil and natural gas revenue||54,158||58,201||95,906||132,057|
|Funds from operations(1)||18,983||18,083||30,612||42,207|
|Per basic share||0.16||0.18||0.26||0.42|
|Per diluted share||0.16||0.18||0.26||0.42|
|Net earnings (loss)||(7,383||)||(85,411||)||(11,444||)||(88,558||)|
|Per basic share||(0.06||)||(0.86||)||(0.10||)||(0.89||)|
|Per diluted share||(0.06||)||(0.86||)||(0.10||)||(0.89||)|
|Adjusted net earnings (loss)(1)||(4,850||)||(14,668||)||(13,471||)||(25,566||)|
|Per basic share||(0.04||)||(0.15||)||(0.11||)||(0.26||)|
|Per diluted share||(0.04||)||(0.15||)||(0.11||)||(0.26||)|
|Long-term debt, net of adjusted working capital(1)||94,786||339,111|
|Weighted average common shares outstanding (thousands):|
|Natural gas (MMcf/d)||73.5||98.1||68.2||101.8|
|Total oil equivalent||17,799||23,467||16,359||24,359|
|Average product prices (2)|
|Natural gas ($/Mcf)||3.43||2.00||3.34||2.25|
|Natural gas and natural gas liquids ($/Mcfe)||1.86||1.66||1.86||1.69|
|Total oil equivalent ($/Boe)||12.19||10.91||12.20||11.21|
|Operating netback ($/Boe)||16.34||12.72||15.29||13.52|
|Funds from operations netback ($/Boe)(1)||11.72||8.47||10.35||9.53|
|(1) Funds from operations, funds from operations per share, funds from operations netback, operating netback, adjusted net earnings, adjusted net earnings per share and adjusted working capital are not defined by GAAP in Canada and are referred to as non-GAAP measures. Funds from operations are based on cash flow from operating activities as per the statement of cash flows before changes in non-cash working capital and asset retirement expenditures. Funds from operations per share is calculated based on the weighted average number of common shares outstanding consistent with the calculation of net earnings (loss) per share. Funds from operations netback equals the total of revenues including realized commodity derivative gains/losses less royalties, transportation, operating, general and administrative, restricted stock units, interest expenses and cash taxes calculated on a Boe basis. Adjusted net earnings equals net earnings excluding after tax unrealized gains (losses) on commodity derivatives, impairments and gains (losses) on property divestments. Operating netback equals the total of revenues including realized commodity derivative gains/losses less royalties, transportation and operating expenses calculated on a Boe basis. Adjusted working capital excludes the current portions of the commodity derivative asset or liability. Total Boe is calculated by multiplying the daily production by the number of days in the period. For more details on non-GAAP measures, including reconciliation to GAAP measures refer to NuVista's "Management's Discussion and Analysis".|
|(2) Product prices exclude realized gains/losses on commodity derivatives.|
CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS AND MD&A
NuVista's second quarter 2013 interim consolidated financial statements and the accompanying Management's Discussion and Analysis will be filed on SEDAR (www.sedar.com) under NuVista Energy Ltd. and can also be accessed on NuVista's website at www.nuvistaenergy.com.
ADVISORY REGARDING OIL AND GAS INFORMATION
This news release contains the terms barrels of oil equivalent ("Boe") and thousand cubic feet equivalent ("Mcfe"). Natural gas is converted to a Boe using six thousand cubic feet of gas to one barrel of oil. In certain circumstances natural gas liquid volumes have been converted to a Mcfe on the basis of one barrel of natural gas liquids to six thousand cubic feet of gas. Boes and Mcfes may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation. The foregoing conversion ratios are based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead. As well, given than the value ratio based on the current price of crude oil to natural gas is significantly different from the 6:1 energy equivalency ratio, using a conversion ratio on a 6:1 basis may be misleading as an indication of value.
Any references in this news release to initial or test production rates are useful in confirming the presence of hydrocarbons, however, such rates are not determinative of the rates at which such wells will continue production and decline thereafter. Additionally, such rates may also include recovered "load oil" fluids used in well completion stimulation. While encouraging, readers are cautioned not to place reliance on such rates in calculating the aggregate production for NuVista.
ADVISORY REGARDING FORWARD-LOOKING INFORMATION AND STATEMENTS
This press release contains forward-looking statements and forward-looking information (collectively, "forward-looking statements") within the meaning of applicable securities laws. The use of any of the words "will", "expects", "believe", "plans", "potential" and similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements. More particularly and without limitation, this press release contains forward looking statements, including management's assessment of: NuVista's future strategy, plans, opportunities and operations; the expectations of creating significant shareholder value from NuVista's properties and opportunities; forecast production; production mix; drilling, development, completion and tie-in plans and results; plans to reduce drilling times and costs and to optimize completions; plans relating to future access to processing facilities and markets; expectations of future results, including future production levels, typecurves, well economics, and operating costs, targeted debt level; the timing, allocation and efficiency of NuVista's capital program and the results therefrom; plans and expectations regarding facility construction and/or expansions, the timing thereof and the benefits to be obtained therefrom; the anticipated potential of NuVista's asset base; forecast funds from operations; the source of funding of capital expenditures; NuVista's risk management strategy; expectations regarding future commodity prices and netbacks; industry conditions and the timing of release of future results.
By their nature, forward-looking statements are based upon certain assumptions and are subject to numerous risks and uncertainties, some of which are beyond NuVista's control, including the impact of general economic conditions, industry conditions, current and future commodity prices, currency and interest rates, anticipated production rates, borrowing, operating and other costs and funds from operations, the timing, allocation and amount of capital expenditures and the results therefrom, anticipated reserves and the imprecision of reserve estimates, the performance of existing wells, the success obtained in drilling new wells, the sufficiency of budgeted capital expenditures in carrying out planned activities, access to infrastructure and markets, competition from other industry participants, availability of qualified personnel or services and drilling and related equipment, stock market volatility, effects of regulation by governmental agencies including changes in environmental regulations, tax laws and royalties, the ability to access sufficient capital from internal sources and bank and equity markets; and including, without limitation, those risks considered under "Risk Factors" in our Annual Information Form. Readers are cautioned that the assumptions used in the preparation of such information, although considered reasonable at the time of preparation, may prove to be imprecise and, as such, undue reliance should not be placed on forward-looking statements. NuVista's actual results, performance or achievement could differ materially from those expressed in, or implied by, these forward-looking statements, or if any of them do so, what benefits NuVista will derive therefrom. NuVista has included the forward-looking statements in this press release in order to provide readers with a more complete perspective on NuVista's future operations and such information may not be appropriate for other purposes. NuVista disclaims any intention or obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as required by law.